Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.048064 0.052248 0.056485 0.061091 0.065949 0.070914 0.076365
2024-10-20 0.040630 0.046720 0.053118 0.060313 0.068153 0.076410 0.085737
2024-10-27 0.035970 0.043515 0.051703 0.061186 0.071804 0.083264 0.096508
2024-11-03 0.031399 0.039893 0.049402 0.060718 0.073704 0.088027 0.104911
2024-11-10 0.028079 0.037337 0.047996 0.060995 0.076233 0.093358 0.113881
2024-11-17 0.025609 0.035516 0.047222 0.061810 0.079236 0.099134 0.123318
2024-11-24 0.024622 0.035368 0.048338 0.064785 0.084729 0.107789 0.136124
2024-12-01 0.021439 0.032206 0.045555 0.062853 0.084212 0.109284 0.140491
2024-12-08 0.019266 0.030159 0.043996 0.062276 0.085207 0.112476 0.146793
2024-12-15 0.017461 0.028449 0.042737 0.061957 0.086426 0.115870 0.153296
2024-12-22 0.016841 0.028294 0.043454 0.064124 0.090726 0.123015 0.164355
2024-12-29 0.015895 0.027606 0.043403 0.065251 0.093690 0.128518 0.173442
2025-01-05 0.014872 0.026770 0.043146 0.066137 0.096415 0.133839 0.182477
2025-01-12 0.013352 0.025095 0.041651 0.065307 0.096887 0.136334 0.188044
2025-01-19 0.012529 0.024404 0.041479 0.066224 0.099615 0.141672 0.197173
2025-01-26 0.011351 0.023071 0.040320 0.065727 0.100439 0.144571 0.203252
2025-02-02 0.010505 0.022195 0.039763 0.066017 0.102277 0.148753 0.210955
2025-02-09 0.009886 0.021639 0.039635 0.066877 0.104858 0.153888 0.219876
2025-02-16 0.009903 0.022144 0.041101 0.070017 0.110557 0.163107 0.234066
2025-02-23 0.008638 0.020357 0.039007 0.067978 0.109134 0.163005 0.236308
2025-03-02 0.007821 0.019279 0.037940 0.067368 0.109629 0.165386 0.241723
2025-03-09 0.007132 0.018372 0.037089 0.067032 0.110470 0.168204 0.247701
2025-03-16 0.007035 0.018564 0.037995 0.069319 0.115006 0.175965 0.260154